Upper Valley rivers expected to crest Monday evening and overnight

A cone alerts drivers to a collapsed driveway on South Road in Canaan, N.H., on Monday, July 10, 2023. (Valley News / Report For America - Alex Driehaus) Copyright Valley News. May not be reprinted or used online without permission. Send requests to permission@vnews.com.

A cone alerts drivers to a collapsed driveway on South Road in Canaan, N.H., on Monday, July 10, 2023. (Valley News / Report For America - Alex Driehaus) Copyright Valley News. May not be reprinted or used online without permission. Send requests to permission@vnews.com. Alex Driehaus

Athletic fields in Bethel, Vt., were under water on Monday, July 10, 2023.

Athletic fields in Bethel, Vt., were under water on Monday, July 10, 2023.

Chance Lister, left, and Parker Cutting, of Green Mountain Power, checked the substation in Taftsville, Vt., after heavy rains caused flooding throughout the Twin States on Monday, July 10, 2023. The Ottauquechee River was running high and fast near the substation. (Valley News - Jennifer Hauck) Copyright Valley News. May not be reprinted or used online without permission. Send requests to permission@vnews.com.

Chance Lister, left, and Parker Cutting, of Green Mountain Power, checked the substation in Taftsville, Vt., after heavy rains caused flooding throughout the Twin States on Monday, July 10, 2023. The Ottauquechee River was running high and fast near the substation. (Valley News - Jennifer Hauck) Copyright Valley News. May not be reprinted or used online without permission. Send requests to permission@vnews.com. valley news — Jennifer Hauck

By FRANCES MIZE

Valley News Staff Writer

Published: 07-10-2023 7:43 PM

HARTFORD — Persistent rain over the last month set the stage for the dangerous flood conditions that were expected to reach their peak across the Upper Valley overnight on Monday. The deluge wiped out roads and bridges and forced the evacuation of low-lying areas.

Rainstorms that have moved across the region “almost every day for the past month,” saturated the soils in the Twin States, said Jon Palmer, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Gray, Maine.

“This is a large system, and the ground just can’t take any more water at this point,” Palmer said. “All the water is running off and into the streams, and just kind of piling there.”

Localized concentrations of heavy rain in Vermont have exacerbated flooding in the state.

“This storm pivoted around an axis that ultimately just put Vermont right in the center,” he said.

At the West Hartford monitoring station on the White River, operated by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, water levels were expected to crest around 7 p.m. at 20.4 feet, which is half a foot below major flood stage.

At 19 feet — which the river was supposed to reach by early evening — the National Weather Service predicts widespread flooding of fields and lowlands throughout the White River Valley, and waters will approach homes and businesses near the river.

Flash flooding is expected to continue in the Hartford area throughout this afternoon, said Adrianna Kremer, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Burlington.

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The Connecticut River in Lebanon and West Lebanon was expected to surpass minor flood stage overnight on Monday, and crest back down by Tuesday morning, Palmer said.

At the West Lebanon monitoring station run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the Connecticut River was forecasted to crest at 23 feet around midnight and stay at that level until morning. That would be the highest the Connecticut River has gotten since Tropical Storm Irene in August 2011, when the river crested at just shy of 30 feet in West Lebanon.

This is likely to cause flooding in low-lying parking lots along Route 12A in West Lebanon.

Flash flooding was expected in the area throughout Monday’s downpour and the aftermath, Palmer said.

As climate change drives temperatures up, warmer atmospheric conditions hold more water vapor. As a result, New England has experienced the largest increase in extreme precipitation events over the past quarter-century compared with anywhere else in the country, according to a study from Dartmouth scientists published in May. The study found that weather events that bring 1.5 inches or more of heavy rainfall, or melted snowfall, in one day are expected to increase 52% by the end of the century.

A weather station monitored by the federal government at the Lebanon Municipal Airport reported just over 2 inches of rain in the last 24 hours, with almost an inch of that falling in the span of six hours.

Frances Mize is a Report for America corps member. She can be reached at fmize@vnews.com or 603-727-3242.